The Struggle for the Soul of America: Will Biden Run for Re-election?

While last Tuesday’s elections proved positive for Democrats, they did not demonstrate that President Biden’s chances of winning re-election were on the rise. In fact, a recent New York Times/Siena College poll had Biden losing to Donald Trump in five of the six top battleground states.[1]

According to the poll, Biden’s support among core constituencies has dropped considerably. In particular, non-white voters and those under 30 have lost faith in the President. On the key issues of the economy, foreign policy, and immigration, battleground states’ voters trusted Trump over Biden.[2]

Though the poll gave Trump a four-point advantage over Biden, when asked if they favored another unnamed Democratic candidate, voters gave that generic candidate an eight-point lead, 48 percent to 40 percent over Trump.[3]

As a result, some national figures are beginning to raise the possibility of having another prominent Democrat on top of the ticket next year. David Alexrod, Obama’s chief political strategist, noted Biden has to decide “whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s” for him to run for re-election.[4] Citing Biden’s age (He is about to turn 81.), Washington Post columnist David Ignatius recently wrote that Biden should not run.[5]

Additionally, MSNBC pundit and former Congressman Joe Scarborough noted that every Democrat he has spoken to privately believes President Biden is “too old” to run for reelection next year.[6] This past weekend the President gave further reason for these concerns at a Veterans Day service. Biden stumbled during the service and appeared to get lost while laying a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.[7]

Biden also has other serious baggage weighing on his re-election prospects. Chief among them is inflation. A late September ABC/Washington Post poll found that high food and energy prices are voters’ major issues with the Biden administration.[8]

Nevertheless, despite the disturbing polls and Biden’s losing key constituencies support, the Democratic establishment is sticking with Biden.[9] Former labor secretary in the Clinton administration Robert Reich believes that if Biden “simply continues to be the adult in the room — governing maturely and responsibly — more of the American public will eventually come around to him, including in the swing states.”[10]

Consequently, barring some disrupting event, e.g., the president’s health deteriorates significantly, it certainly looks like Biden will be the Democrats’ nominee for president in 2024. While many of us, myself included, would rather see a younger, more progressive Democrat leading the ticket, we all have to get behind Biden now. The stakes are too high not to.

The election is a year away. Biden still has time to turn the tide in his favor. A recent Politico column offered a number of ways he could do that. One that I found intriguing would be for him to “appoint a pair of high-level envoys,” Bill and Hillary Clinton, to oversee a new Mideast peace process. “Dispatching the Clintons would show Biden’s commitment to a resolution…”[11] In addition, I believe he needs to pressure the Israelis to wind down the war and institute a ceasefire as soon as possible as well as develop a viable framework for a just and lasting peace that all sides agree to. (See NYT columnist Tom Friedman’s view on this.[12]) This would shore up his standing with the American Muslim community and the political left sympathetic to the Palestinian cause.

Another valuable proposal is for Biden to present a broad team as the face of his campaign:

The governors, the senators, the cabinet secretaries and the infrastructure czar should be the faces of Biden’s campaign, along with the president and vice-president. The message: with Democrats remaining in power, it’s not just an 82-year-old at the helm but also this group — Team Normal when compared to Trump….[13]

Of course, youth, Blacks, and Hispanics need to be prominent members of Biden’s Team too. These core constituencies must be convinced that the administration is listening to them and addressing their concerns.

Finally, while there are other strategies the president could pursue, perhaps the most effective would be “to solidify and expand the anti-Trump coalition.”[14] Biden’s campaign needs to make crystal clear what a huge difference there would be between Trump’s return to the White House and a second Biden administration. The former leads to an authoritarian regime. The latter will help revitalize American democracy. Therefore, it’s critical that we all join the Biden team now.

Bruce Berlin

A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.), the founder of New Mexicans for Money Out of Politics, a former U.S. Institute of Peace fellow, and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He can be reached at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

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[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html

[2] Ibid.

[3] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/06/an-ominous-poll-democrats-what-it-says-about-biden-alternative/

[4] https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/news/david-axelrod-questions-wisdom-president-biden-running-again/

[5] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/09/12/biden-trump-election-step-aside/

[6] https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4202366-scarborough-says-democrats-privately-say-biden-too-old-to-run/

[7] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12737895/Biden-gaffe-veterans-day-service.html

[8] https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/09/abc-nbc-polls-show-the-economy-hurts-biden-more-than-age.html

[9] https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/28/politics/biden-reelection-worries-dean-phillips/index.html

[10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/ex-labor-secretary-predicts-exactly-101031826.html

[11] https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/11/13/biden-2024-reelection-challenges-strategy-00126776

[12] https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/14/opinion/israel-war-biden.html