The Struggle for the Soul of America: My Blog Is Back As the 2024 Elections Loom on the Horizon

Some of you have been wondering why you’ve not been getting my blog. Back in January I decided to take a break from it so I could concentrate on the memoir I’ve been writing.  But life got in the way and I have not made the progress on my memoir that I had hoped for. While I will continue working on my book, I feel that my blog can no longer be on hold. There’s just too much going on that calls for our closer examination. So, here goes…
 
While we have almost 16 months until the 2024 election, it may very well be a critical turning point in the history of our country. A victory by Trump and his Republican allies would be a major step toward our nation becoming an autocracy. The New York Times recently reported that the former president plans “a sweeping expansion of presidential power over the machinery of government if voters return him to the White House in 2025, reshaping the structure of the executive branch to concentrate far greater authority directly in his hands.” (See https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html.)

With a dozen or more candidates lining up to challenge Trump for the Republican presidential nomination, 2024 could be a replay of 2016. Trump’s hardcore support of 30 to 40 percent of Republican primary voters could carry the day as all the other contenders carve up the remaining 60 to 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans would have to coalesce around one anti-Trump candidate to have any real chance of knocking Trump from his pedestal. 

On the Democratic side, President Biden appears to be a shoo-in for the nomination. At the moment, Robert Kennedy, Jr. is making some significant inroads into Biden’s support, though it’s hard to imagine his snatching the nomination away from Biden. In a Biden-Trump rematch, the president would appear to be the favorite given that the state of the economy, declining inflation, abortion rights, and escalating gun violence are all major issues favoring the Democrats, not to mention all Trump’s legal baggage.

The real electoral mystery is the possibility of a third-party candidacy affecting the election outcome. In a recent poll, nearly half of the respondents indicated they were open to supporting a third-party candidate. (See https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4035698-nearly-half-of-voters-would-consider-backing-third-party-candidate-in-2024-poll/.) I believe that would take more votes away from Biden than from Trump, giving the former president a real possibility of winning and turning our country into a dangerous autocracy. 

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) is making gestures suggesting a possible No Labels third-party candidacy to the right of Biden as Cornel West joins the Green Party to run to the president’s left. (See https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4098630-the-memo-democrat-suspicions-grow-about-rfk-jr-cornel-west-no-labels/.) One or both of these campaigns could doom Biden’s chances of re-election and put Trump or another right-wing Republican in the White House. 

It’s way too early to even guess how this will all turn out. But it’s not too soon to get involved and learn what you can do to help avoid a democratic disaster in next year’s elections. Now’s the time to determine how you can best get in the fight to save our democracy.   

Bruce Berlin

A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.), the founder of New Mexicans for Money Out of Politics, a former U.S. Institute of Peace fellow, and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He can be reached at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

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