Saturday’s attempted assassination of Donald Trump will likely make it harder for President Biden to win the November election. And, before Saturday, he already had an uphill battle on his hands. So, I’ve concluded that Biden’s withdrawing from the race and putting Vice President Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket is the Democrats’ best path forward to beating Trump.
Abortion rights will be an overriding issue for women in this election. As a pro-choice woman, Harris leading the Democrats would boost their standing with Republican women. In fact, half of Republican women voters think abortion should be legal in all or most cases.[1]
Among all women, Biden and Trump are essentially tied. Harris, on the other hand, beats Trump 50 to 43% with women voters. Harris also runs better than Biden against Trump among people of color, Democrats, Independents, liberals, moderates, and conservatives according to a recent CNN poll.[2]
In a close race, suburban women in swing states may well decide the election. A recent poll found that most suburban women identify as pro-choice and believe that abortion should be legal. This same poll discovered that suburban women feel frustrated with the upcoming presidential election and 60% of them are dissatisfied with the choice of candidates.[3]
Replacing Biden with Harris could eliminate that dissatisfaction for enough women voters to put Harris in the White House. The same is true regarding disaffected younger voters as well as angry Arab Americans, especially in the critical swing state of Michigan, who oppose Biden’s strong support of Israel in its war against Hamas that’s killing thousands of innocent Gazans.
In addition, the attack on Trump makes gun violence a more prominent issue in this year’s election.[4] Democrats believe gun violence prevention may also be a decisive issue with suburban women.[5] As a former prosecutor and California attorney general, Vice President Harris has vital experience in this area and would be a more effective candidate in making the case for both gun violence prevention and abortion rights. This is especially true now that she oversees the White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention.[6]
The fact is suburban women voters are dissatisfied with both Trump and Biden.[7] A younger woman candidate with Harris’s background could energize women voters. Harris also does not have the baggage that Biden has regarding his age, the Israeli-Hamas War, and inflation. It’s time Obama, Clinton, Pelosi, Schumer and Jeffries go to the White House and tell Biden (and Jill) that he must withdraw from the race for the good of our country.
Bruce Berlin
A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.), the founder of New Mexicans for Money Out of Politics, a former U.S. Institute of Peace fellow, and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He can be reached at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.
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[1] https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/poll-finding/polling-insight-republican-women-voters-on-abortion/
[2] https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/kamala-harris-trump-polls/
[3] https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/poll-finding/polling-insight-4-takeaways-about-suburban-women-voters/
[4] https://www.rferl.org/a/trump-shooting-election-analysis/33036007.html
[5] https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-donald-trump-gun-control-nra-069fa483fc8af1e321ef8b53040f70ef
[6] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/03/23/fact-sheet-vice-president-harris-announces-gun-safety-solutions-while-continuing-efforts-to-keep-schools-safe-from-gun-violence/
[7] https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/poll-finding/polling-insight-4-takeaways-about-suburban-women-voters/
