The Struggle for the Soul of America: The Democrat’s Failure Enabled Autocrat Trump’s Win

Posted on November 17, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

A variety of explanations have been provided for why Harris and the Dems lost the 2024 election. A few stand out.

For instance, the Dems lost because they failed to listen to and address the concerns of the working class.[1] And, the powerful right-wing media “fed their audiences a diet of slanted and distorted information that made it possible for Trump to win.”[2] And, Harris failed to distance herself from Biden’s foreign policy, especially regarding his unconditional support of Israel in its brutal annihilation of the people of Gaza.[3] These and other factors all played a part in Trump’s win over Harris.

Still, Professor Peter Bloom sees a more basic issue that for decades has prevented the Democrats from realizing their professed goal of a society of true equality, justice, and sustainability. He argues that the Democrats mistakenly put all their ‘eggs’ in one basket: electoral politics. Bloom calls this the “Goldilocks complex,” which “manifests in the perpetual search for the perfect capitalist politician who can somehow thread the needle between radical change and mainstream acceptability…The fundamental flaw in this approach is the misguided belief that true systemic change can come through electoral politics alone, particularly within a party fundamentally wedded to capitalist interests.”[4]

Bloom believes, “This myopic focus prevents the development of alternative structures and intersectional movements necessary for genuine socialist change…Real progress demands building grassroots organizations, reinvigorating labor movements, creating mutual aid networks, and fostering broad coalitions that address the interconnected nature of various forms of oppression.”[5]

In Bloom’s view, the principal culprit in the Democrats’ futile efforts is capitalism itself. The Party’s failure to address its structural limitations keeps it “beholden to corporate interests and wedded to capitalist ideology.” Bloom concludes that as long as the Democrats continue to work “within a system designed to prioritize profit and maintain existing power structures,” they will not achieve true economic and social justice. We all “must recognize that the solutions to our most pressing problems lie outside the confines of capitalist politics.”[6]

Perhaps Trump’s victory will finally force the Democrats to take Bloom’s advice and move beyond capitalist politics. For years, Sen. Bernie Sanders has urged the Party to adopt Democratic Socialism. He rightly maintains that “the issue of unfettered capitalism is not just an academic debate, poverty, economic distress and despair are life-threatening issues for millions of working people in the country.”[7] Restrained by capitalist politics, the Democrats have not effectively addressed these issues and met the needs of the working class.

Sanders explains, “The challenge we confront today as a nation and as a world is, in many ways, not different from the one we faced a little less than a century ago…Then, as now, deeply-rooted and seemingly intractable economic and social disparities led to the rise of right-wing nationalist forces all over the world.” It is unclear whether the Democrats truly understand this.

The question before the Democrats and all Americans is: Will we meet the challenge of Trump’s authoritarianism and the right-wing Republican Party by going beyond capitalist politics before it’s too late and American democracy dies?

(Note: I will only be publishing my blog occasionally for the next several months so that I will have more time to complete my memoir, From Camden to Kathmandu.)

Bruce Berlin, J.D.

A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is a former U.S. Institute of Peace Fellow and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He is also the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America. (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.). Contact him at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/why-democrats-lose-to-republicans

[2] https://newrepublic.com/post/188197/trump-media-information-landscape-fox

[3] https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/biden-s-middle-east-failure;

[4] https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/progressives-democratic-party

[5] Ibid.

[6] Ibid.

[7] https://www.vox.com/2019/6/12/18663217/bernie-sanders-democratic-socialism-speech-transcript

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Biden, Harris and the Dems Blew It

Posted on November 8, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

Trump was the worst candidate the Republicans could have run, and Harris still couldn’t win. He had so much baggage, yet the Dems couldn’t beat him. Why?

Let’s start at the beginning. In 2020, candidate Joe Biden declared he would be a bridge to a new generation of leadership. The expectation was that once Biden dethroned Trump, he would not run for a second term, especially since he would be 82 by the time that term began.[1] By 2023, approximately three-quarters of the country, including a decided majority of his fellow Democrats, thought Biden was too old to serve another term as president. The American people wanted him to step aside at the end of his first term.[2]

Last January, when the 2024 presidential primaries began, Biden’s approval rating stood at 38%, while 47% of Americans disapproved of his job performance.[3] Yet, most of his party supported him, and no prominent Democrat challenged him in the Democratic primaries. By April of this year, more than 60% of Americans disapproved of Biden’s performance, while only 35% approved.[4] Still, his party stood by him.

It was not until late June after Biden’s disastrous performance during his first debate with Trump that Democrats began to seriously question whether the president should run for a second term.[5] Nevertheless, despite his age and a horrible debate, Biden insisted that he would stay in the race and defeat Trump in November.[6] Finally, almost a month later, the president reluctantly withdrew from the race at his party’s urging and immediately endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris.[7]

With less than four months till the election and Biden’s endorsement of Harris, the Democratic Party had little choice but to nominate his VP for president at its August convention.[8] Consequently, millions of Democratic voters had no say in who would be their candidate for president. Biden’s inability to put the best interests of the country above his own ambition until the very last moment put Harris and the Democrats in an untenable position.

In late July, Kamala Harris became the Democrats’ presumptive nominee for president without winning any primaries due to the endorsement of one person, President Biden. Instead of distancing herself from a very unpopular president, Harris chose to stick by her man throughout her campaign for president. She couldn’t even bring herself to suggest modifying U.S. arms sales to Israel despite its utter destruction of Gaza and the annihilation of thousands of innocent Palestinian people with U.S. weapons.

In fact, during an interview on ABC’s “The View,” candidate Harris could not name one thing that she would change in the four years of the Biden-Harris Administration.[9] That left Americans believing voting for her would be four more years of the unpopular Biden policies, which contradicted her message that the Harris campaign represented true change. At the same time, she provided no real vision of a future America.[10]

In the minds of a great many Americans, the primary reasons for voting for Harris came down to her support for abortion rights and that she was not Trump. Sadly, that just wasn’t enough for the majority of American voters.

“Trump’s victory is a grim day for the United States and for democracies around the world. You have every right to be appalled, saddened, shocked, and frightened. Soon, however, you should dust yourself off, square your shoulders, and take a deep breath. Americans who care about democracy have work to do.” – Tom Nichols, The Atlantic

“To those feeling despair: I understand. But remember, every step toward progress in American history came after the darkness of defeat. Abolitionists, suffragettes, Dreamers, and marchers for civil rights and marriage equality all faced impossible odds, but they persisted. Now it is our turn to pull up our socks and get back in the fight.” – Sen. Elizabeth Warren

Bruce Berlin, J.D.

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2023/09/biden-reelection-transition-president/675395/

[2] https://www.coloradopolitics.com/news/pancreatic-biden-82-four-years-president-colorado/article_a133e0fa-63ba-11ee-b04b-735748c6968d.html

[3] https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-19-january-2024/

[4] https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17IXmmK_CjrhhNnHZJQHhCqgXm8PpEiiv43RcrC4jZXY/edit?gid=1366600926#gid=1366600926

[5] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-debate-performance-democrats-panic-rcna157279

[6] https://www.reuters.com/world/us/democrats-scramble-limit-damage-after-bidens-wobbly-debate-showing-against-trump-2024-06-28/

[7] https://apnews.com/article/biden-drops-out-2024-election-ddffde72838370032bdcff946cfc2ce6

[8] https://apnews.com/article/biden-drops-out-2024-election-ddffde72838370032bdcff946cfc2ce6

[9] https://www.cnn.com/politics/harris-2024-campaign-biden/index.html

[10] https://www.newsweek.com/what-was-kamala-harris-campaigns-biggest-mistake-strategists-verdicts-1981194

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Just a Few More Days

Posted on November 1, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

Finally! Election Day is almost here. It’s been a long time coming.

Most of the people I’ve talked to recently are scared. They’re worried that the fascist Trump will win, our democracy will be destroyed, and the country will be overrun by a bunch of extreme white nationalists. While that’s a real possibility, agonizing over it won’t do any good. Worrying only causes pain and heartache.

Here’s a better idea: Visualize a Big Blue Wave on Election Day. Think about Harris and Walz in the White House implementing a New Way Forward for all Americans.[1] It will make you feel more positive about our country’s future. And it beats dreading about a second Trump term in the Oval Office by a long shot.

This is not a fantasy game. In truth, a Harris/Walz victory is much more likely than not. A new CNN poll finds Vice President Harris with a 6-point lead over former President Trump in Wisconsin and a 5-point lead in Michigan.[2] In Pennsylvania, they are virtually tied,[3] though a recent UMass poll has Harris up by one percentage point.[4]

Early voting in the Keystone state actually provides evidence of a larger Harris lead. Voters over 65 have cast nearly half of the early ballots there. Registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes from seniors compared to only 35 percent for Republicans. In the other Blue Wall states of Michigan and Wisconsin, early Democratic voters over the age of 65 are running 10 to 20 percent ahead of their Republican counterparts.[5]

Other indications of a Harris victory on Tuesday include the gender gap, the enthusiasm gap, and the Never Trump Republican movement. Across battleground states, women account for roughly 55 percent of the early vote, while men are around 45 percent.[6] Additionally, 77 percent of Democrats say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting compared to 67 percent of Republicans.[7] And, the number of Republicans supporting Harris is growing as well.[8]

New polls out this morning reveal that Harris appears to have a very big lead over Trump among early voters. The vice president has an advantage of between 19 and 29 percentage points ahead of Trump, according to New York Times-Siena College, CNN, and ABC News-Ipsos polls.[9]

But there is still work to be done to ensure a Blue Wave victory. One of the easiest and most important ways you can help Harris and the Dems win is to make calls to swing state voters from the comfort of your own home. Here’s the link to get involved: https://events.democrats.org/event/725393/?ceid=19227312&emci=343d19aa-1c97-ef11-88ce-000d3a98fa6b&emdi=b4482536-8d97-ef11-88ce-000d3a98fa6b.

Remember, taking action is the remedy to relieve your fears and anxiety about the election. Knowing you helped in such a critical endeavor will make a difference in both your feelings and the election returns.

May the Force be with us!

Bruce Berlin, J.D.

A retired public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is a former U.S. Institute of Peace Fellow and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He is also the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America. (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.). Contact him at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://kamalaharris.com/a-new-way-forward/

[2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/harris-6-point-lead-wisconsin-173428443.html

[3] https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/30/pennsylvania-2024-trump-harris-polls-race-virtually-tied-in-4-new-surveys-of-vital-battleground-state/

[4] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/31/presidential-election-polls-pennsylvania-michigan-nc/75964694007/

[5] https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/31/trump-lagging-early-votes-seniors-pennsylvania-00186612

[6] https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/29/gender-gap-early-voting-00186155

[7] https://www.newsweek.com/democrat-voter-enthusiasm-republicans-double-digits-poll-1978203

[8] https://ncnewsline.com/2024/10/31/republicans-supporting-harris-say-whisper-caucus-could-swing-the-election/

[9] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/31/polls-show-harris-with-big-early-vote-lead-despite-gop-gains/

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Trump is a Grave Threat. Do Something!

Posted on October 24, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

I am very sad. How is it possible that Donald Trump could be elected president of our country? How could 240+ years of American democracy be summarily rejected by the people of the United States in favor of an autocracy ruled by an incompetent, racist, narcissistic fascist?

I still don’t believe it will happen, though I do realize it’s quite possible. Practically all the generals and White House officials who worked with Trump during his first term have strongly stated he is “unfit to be in office”[1] and “a grave threat” to our democracy.[2] I pray that a majority of voters understand this.

Gen. John Kelly, Trump’s longest-serving White House chief of staff, recently said this about his former boss:

“Certainly the former president is in the far-right area, he’s certainly an authoritarian, admires people who are dictators — he has said that. So he certainly falls into the general definition of fascist, for sure.”[3]

Trump’s V.P. Mike Pence asserted this about the former president: “Anyone that puts themselves over the Constitution should never be president …”[4]

And, John Bolton, Trump’s former national security advisor, noted his “short attention span (except on matters of personal advantage) renders coherent foreign policy almost unattainable.”[5]

Our country is now bitterly divided and hate-filled. While Trump may not have initiated this ugly trend, he has clearly brought it to a boiling point.

Fortunately, it’s not too late to stop Trump and his MAGA cult. But we have no time to lose. With less than two weeks until the election, it’s up to all of us to get to work immediately.

If you know anyone who has not yet voted and is on the fence, talk to them. Make clear to them what’s at stake and that every vote counts.

But most Americans have made up their minds about this election. So, voter turnout is critical at this point. We need to get as many people inclined to support Harris and the Dems to the polls as possible. We cannot depend on anyone but ourselves to win this election.

Here’s what you can do:

Volunteer in Santa Fe at https://santafedemocrats.org/volunteer/
Volunteer with the NM Democratic Party at https://www.mobilize.us/nmdemocrats/
Volunteer for the Harris/Walz campaign at https://web.kamalaharris.com/forms/take-action-for-kamala-harris/
Volunteer in Gabe Vasquez’s campaign in NM’s Second Congressional District at https://www.mobilize.us/gabevasquezforcongress/. Gabe is in a tight race and you can help him in Albuquerque.
Connect with 15 voters who don’t always vote at https://www.mobilize.us/gabevasquezforcongress/event/710388/
Help in a battleground state at https://go.kamalaharris.com/resources/battlegroundstateshelp/
Call voters in Swing Districts to win back the House at https://swingleft.org/event/register/mobilize:732212?timeslots=mobilize:5066383&s=u

Even if you think Harris is the lesser of two evils, she is a thousand times better than Trump. Harris will preserve our less-than-perfect democracy and work to make it better. She will try to bring Americans back together.

Michelle Obama explained we cannot afford to sit on our hands at this point. She has implored us to “Do something.”[6] Now go do it!

Bruce Berlin

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/26/opinion/donald-trump-personality-history.html

[2] https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/26/politics/cassidy-hutchinson-jake-tapper-interview-trump-most-grave-threat-cnntv/index.html

[3] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/john-kelly-former-white-house-chief-staff-on-trump/

[4] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/26/opinion/donald-trump-personality-history.html

[5] Ibid.

[6] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Kwra-_8IfI

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Will Harris Ride a Blue Wave in November?

Posted on October 19, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

According to a number of polls, Vice President Harris’s support has slipped. She now leads Trump by only one or two points.[1] Assuming the polls are accurate, which is not always the case, this race appears to be going down to the wire.

On the other hand, I believe a Blue Wave is still quite possible. Three voting blocs may very well create such a flood. First, massive support by women for Kamala will be a significant indicator of a Big Blue Wave. While Harris leads Trump by 14% with women, Trump has a 14% edge with men.[2] The important difference, however, will be in turnout. Women will come out in record numbers to vote for the first woman president. That Harris fully supports a woman’s right to choose, unlike her opponent, will further boost turnout for her.

The second element of the electorate that will help build a large margin of victory for Harris is traditional Republicans who refuse to support Trump. A recent NYT poll found nine percent of likely Republican voters plan to back the Democratic candidate in November, up from five percent in the last New York Times/Siena College poll just a month ago.[3] I suspect that number will be twelve to fifteen percent by election day.

The list of prominent Republicans supporting Harris keeps growing. On September 18^th, 111 former Republican officials and members of Congress endorsed Harris in a letter published in the New York Times. They wrote that “she possesses the essential qualities to serve as President and Donald Trump does not…” Moreover, they denounced Trump’s “unusual affinity for other authoritarian leaders, contempt for the norms of decent, ethical and lawful behavior, and chaotic national security decision-making.” The list includes a host of national security and foreign policy figures who served under the last four Republican presidents, including Trump.[4] Well known and respected, they are bound to get the attention of their fellow Republicans who are having difficulty backing Trump.

The third ingredient of the Harris victory pie will be the youth vote. A new poll by Harvard’s Institute of Politics shows that among 18-to-29-year-olds nationwide, Harris holds a 31-point lead over Trump among likely voters.[5]

Of course, other segments of the electorate strongly support Harris as well. Seventy-eight percent of Black voters[6] sides with her, and she has a 25-point lead over Trump with Hispanic voters.[7] But those constituencies make up the Democratic core and are already baked into the Harris election pie.

One final factor in this election that gives Harris a great advantage is Trump himself. Harris is right when she states the former president is “unstable and unhinged.” As the Washington Post observed, he plays “on hatred of immigrants and revenge fantasies.” He denigrates his political opponents as “the enemies from within … those people are more dangerous than Russia and China.” Harris “is running against the oldest man ever to be nominated by a major party for the presidency, someone who is keeping secretsabout his health and degenerating before our eyes.”[8]

In line with the likelihood of a Harris victory, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) indicates “a 72% probability that the Democratic candidate wins in November… Historically, when the Dow’s year-to-date gain by mid-October exceeds 10% — as it does this year with a 13.4% rise — the incumbent party wins 78% of the time.” Financial analyst Mark Hulbert stresses that “the Dow’s indication of who will win the presidency deserves to be taken seriously,” as the stock market has proven to be a reliable predictor in over 30 elections.[9]

And then there’s this recent sign favoring Harris. Undecided voters are notably breaking toward Harris, with 60% of those who decided in the last month now supporting her, compared to just 36% for Trump.[10]

While Harris’s candidacy does have serious drawbacks (e.g. her Middle East and energy policies), unlike Trump she stands for democracy and all the people. I wouldn’t be too surprised to see a Blue Wave washing up on the shores of America next month.

Bruce Berlin

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/harris-trump-polls-tracker-election-campaign-latest-b2629835.html

[2] https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-trump-lead-shrinks-new-poll-1971354

[3] https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-support-among-republicans-almost-doubles-nyt-siena-poll-1965611

[4] https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/republicans-endorsing-kamala-harris-trump-1235096939/

[5] https://iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/latest-poll

[6] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/oct/17/trump-harris-election-black-voters

[7] https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-surging-back-key-voting-group-new-poll-shows-1970186

[8] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/18/newsletter-harris-attack-trump-weakness/

[9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/wall-street-predicts-kamala-harris-191008486.html

[10] Ibid.

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Israel’s Choices: Endless Conflict or Real Peace

Posted on October 12, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

On this Yom Kippur, Israel, the United States, Iran and much of the Arab world must repent and change course.

The current war between Israel and Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran is just the latest chapter in a conflict that has been going on at least since Israel was established by United Nations Resolution 181 on November 29, 1947. Under that resolution, the British protectorate of Palestine was to be divided into two states, one Jewish and the other Arab. The Arab countries surrounding Israel opposed the resolution and went to war against Israel in 1948.[1]

Israel won that war which resulted in over 700,000 Arabs being forced from their homes in the new Jewish state.[2] It has won several other armed conflicts with their Arab neighbors since then. But the Six-Day War in June 1967 was a turning point. Israel captured the West Bank during that war, and it has been under Israeli military occupation as a national security measure to this day.[3]

While six Arab countries, beginning with Egypt in 1979, have made peace with Israel[4] and normalized relations, hostilities continue with a number of others led by Iran. Backed by a huge amount of U.S. funds and armaments, Israel has been able to deter Arab assaults over the years, with the exception of the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack.

Since then, Israel has gone on the offensive. Its goal now appears to be the complete elimination of all terrorists that threaten Israel. As a result, many thousands of innocent Arabs in Gaza, the West Bank and Lebanon, a great many of them women and children, have been killed, plus thousands more maimed or starved to death, in Israel’s widespread attacks to wipe out its enemies.[5]

The only problem is Israel will never be able to do that militarily. Israel Defense Forces spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari has even admitted as much when he said that Hamas cannot be made to “disappear.”[6] The bottom line is that as long as the Palestinian people are denied their own state as promised in the 1947 U.N. resolution, the fighting will continue.

Unfortunately, the current Israeli government has no intention of agreeing to a two-state solution. It would rather continue killing thousands of innocent Arabs, leave its hostages in the hands of Hamas, have its own people live in constant fear and danger, and be isolated from the rest of the world except for the U.S. Implausibly, the American government seems helpless to do anything to stop this madness despite the fact that it supplies Israel with the means to keep this cycle of death and destruction going.

Meanwhile, 99 American doctors, nurses and other medical personnel who have volunteered in Gaza since October 7, 2023, are urging President Biden and Vice President Harris to “end this madness now.” Estimating the Gaza death toll at over 118,000, they wrote, “Every day that we continue supplying weapons and munitions to Israel is another day that women are shredded by our bombs and children are murdered by our bullets.”[7]

Consequently, they are demanding of Biden and Harris: “A ceasefire must be imposed on the warring parties by withholding military support for Israel and supporting an international arms embargo on Israel and all Palestinian armed groups. We believe our government is obligated to do this, both under American law and International Humanitarian Law.”[8]

There’s practically no chance that the Biden administration would agree to this demand. It could, however, immediately halt shipments of all offensive weapons to Israel to pressure Jerusalem to agree to a ceasefire and begin negotiations for a real two-state, lasting peace. While that may not convince Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to change course, it may move the Israeli people to demand elections for a new government.

The Arab world recently made a strong offer that’s gotten little attention but could open the door to those negotiations. Two weeks ago, Jordan’s Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi responded to Netanyahu’s claim that Israel is surrounded by those who want to destroy it. Safadi announced at the United Nations that 57 Arab and Muslim countries would unequivocally guarantee Israel’s security if Jerusalem ended the occupation and agreed to the establishment of a Palestinian state.[9] Of course, the U.S. would as well.

While getting there will be very difficult, Harris should now state that as president, she would strongly support and work to implement the Arab proposal while continuing to protect Israel. On the anniversary of the October 7^th massacre, Harris affirmed that “We must work to ensure nothing like the horrors of October 7 can ever happen again.”[10] Ending the occupation and establishing a Palestinian state is the only way to ensure that critical goal.

Bruce Berlin

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.britannica.com/event/Arab-Israeli-wars

[2] https://mondediplo.com/1997/12/palestine

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_the_West_Bank#:~:text=The%20West%20Bank%2C%20including%20East,during%20the%20Six%2DDay%20War.

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab%E2%80%93Israeli_relations#:~:text=After%20several%20Arab%2DIsraeli%20wars,Morocco%20and%20Sudan)%20normalized%20relations.

[5] https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/more-women-and-children-killed-gaza-israeli-military-any-other-recent-conflict; https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/4/live-israeli-bombs-rain-down-on-lebanons-beirut-gaza-occupied-west-bank

[6] https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/20/middleeast/hagari-netanyahu-destroy-hamas-israel-intl/index.html

[7] https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/10/05/gqob-o05.html

[8] Ibid.

[9] https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2024-10-02/ty-article-opinion/.premium/jordans-foreign-minister-told-israelis-and-inconvenient-truth/00000192-4dc3-d2cc-a5d7-edff907e0000

[10] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/10/07/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-marking-one-year-since-hamas-october-7th-terrorist-attacks/

The Struggle for the Soul of America: How Harris and the Dems Beat Trump

Posted on September 22, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

Getting out the vote is the key to winning the presidential election. If Vice President Harris can get the constituencies that strongly support her out to the polls in great numbers, she will be victorious come November. That is particularly critical in the seven battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which will determine the outcome.

Forty-one million members of the Gen-Z generation will be eligible to vote in this year’s election.[1] Young voters under the age of 35 account for roughly 29% of the national electorate.[2] Today’s young people are among the most electorally engaged in recent decades.[3] They support Harris over Trump by 50% to 34%.[4] With a 16% margin in her favor, the Harris campaign must ensure that Gen Z has a huge turnout this election.

The issues that concern young voters the most are the economy, inflation and healthcare, including access to abortion.[5] With inflation now at 2.5%, the lowest level in three years,[6] and interest rates coming down 50 basis points for the first time in four years,[7] the Democrats could produce a big youth vote that would boost their chances this November.

Another very pro-Harris group is women. Harris leads Trump among women by 13 points (48% to 35%). Women favor Harris more than men across every racial and ethnic subgroup. On the other hand, Trump leads among men by only eight points (47% to 39%).[8]

The top three issues for all women in this election are the economy, healthcare/reproductive rights and the cost of housing.[9] Vice President Harris strongly supports a woman’s right to choose. In addition, she has reframed healthcare as an economic issue. She has proposed capping out-of-pocket drug costs for everyone at $2,000 per year and insulin copays at $35 per month, enhancing Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium support, speeding up Medicare drug price negotiation, and expanding efforts to cancel medical debt.[10]

Harris has addressed women’s concerns regarding the high cost of housing by proposing the construction of 3 million new affordable homes with tax initiatives for builders who create them. She would also provide $25,000 down payment assistance for 4 million first-time homebuyers.[11] With a consumer-friendly platform like that, Harris’s support among women can only increase, and hopefully, among men as well.

Regarding Black voters, Harris has a huge lead with 82% indicating they support her.[12] Black women, in particular, have her back. They are working diligently to bring more black men on board as well.[13] In the Hispanic community, Harris is favored by Latinos in Spanish-speaking and bilingual households by nearly 60% compared to 32% for Trump. In English-dominant homes, 51% of respondents supported Harris, while Trump stood at 38%.[14] Harris is strongly courting non-white communities.[15]

Overall, following the September 10^th debate, Harris leads Trump 50% to 45%, an increase of one or two points from prior to the debate.[16] The Vice President is addressing voters’ primary concerns, and, for the most part, they like what she is offering.

Of course, there are a few issues that are not so easy for Harris and the Dems to address. Like the Israeli-Hamas War and America’s reliance on non-renewable energy, esp. oil. So far, they have not impeded her expanding campaign to any significant degree.

Every day it’s looking more like Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States.

Bruce Berlin

A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com. https://protectthevote.net/), the founder of New Mexicans for Money Out of Politics, a former U.S. Institute of Peace fellow, and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He can be reached at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/41-million-members-gen-z-will-be-eligible-vote-2024

[2] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-economic-concerns-are-shaping-the-youth-vote-in-2024/

[3] https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/gen-z-voted-higher-rate-2022-previous-generations-their-first-midterm-election

[4] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-half-gen-z-voters-support-kamala-harris-one-third-back-donald-tru-rcna169025

[5] https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/24157594/young-voters-are-just-normies-poll-biden-economy

[6] https://www.bankrate.com/banking/federal-reserve/latest-inflation-statistics/

[7] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/18/fed-cuts-rates-september-2024-.html

[8] https://minnesotareformer.com/2024/09/12/harris-holds-a-slight-edge-over-trump-and-its-driven-by-women-poll-finds/

[9] https://www.glamour.com/story/election-2024-the-state-of-the-union-for-women

[10] https://www.kff.org/from-drew-altman/harris-is-reframing-health-as-an-economic-issue/

[11] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/9/18/what-housing-plans-do-us-presidential-candidates-trump-and-harris-offer

[12] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/09/harris-trump-biden-black-americans/

[13]

[14] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/harris-campaign-aims-bolster-latino-support-spending-blitz-rcna171113

[15] https://www.lemonde.fr/en/united-states/article/2024/09/19/harris-continues-to-court-minorities-after-saying-she-s-working-to-earn-the-vote-of-black-men_6726551_133.html

[16] https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4876880-harris-widens-lead-over-trump-in-post-debate-poll/

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Can Biden Achieve a Ceasefire Agreement between Israel and Hamas?

Posted on September 4, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

The Israeli people are getting more and more frustrated with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s failure to negotiate a ceasefire and bring the hostages home. With the recent deaths of six more hostages, approximately 500,000 Israelis took to the streets on Sunday in protest of Netanyahu’s resistance to a ceasefire that would free the hostages.[1] Hopefully, the Israelis will not let up until Netanyahu reverses course or is thrown out of office.

As an American Jew, I am ashamed and outraged by what Israel is doing to Gaza and its people with the robust support of American funds and weapons. Tens of thousands of innocent Gazans of all ages are being killed, maimed, or starved to death by Israel’s relentless devastating assault on Gaza.[2] It is a horrendous tragedy that just keeps getting worse.

Appallingly, the Biden administration continues to add fuel to the fire. On March 29, the administration authorized the transfer of billions of dollars worth of bombs and fighter jets to Israel.[3] Then, in April, President Biden signed into law $14.3 billion in emergency security assistance for Israel.[4] And in August, our government authorized another $3.5 billion in military aid to Israel.[5]

James Zogby, president of the Arab American Institute in Washington, has a proposal that could go a long way toward ending this war. He is urging the U.S. to cut off military aid to Israel and recognize the Palestinian right to self-determination. Zogby believes this would force an internal debate in Israel and put the region on a more productive path toward peace.[6] It also might force the obstructionist Netanyahu out of office.

While it’s not likely Biden would take such a step, he could move in that direction by significantly reducing U.S. military aid to Israel, starting with cutting off offensive weapons. Such an initiative would include the proviso that further reductions would occur if Israel does not agree to a permanent ceasefire that, at the same time, brings the hostages home.

Of course, if decreased U.S. military support increases Hamas attacks on Israel, then the administration would be free to again beef up aid to its ally. But if Biden’s effort were successful, it would be a major move toward peace in the region as well as guarantee him an elevated place in modern American history as he leaves office. And, assuming Vice President Harris wins the election, she would then have some leverage to negotiate a final Palestinian-Israeli peace agreement. After all these years, what a blessing that would be!

Bruce Berlin

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-says-it-has-discovered-unidentified-bodies-gaza-2024-08-31/

[2] https://efe.com/en/latest-news/2024-09-02/war-in-gaza-death-toll-approaches-40800-after-11-months/

[3]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_support_for_Israel_in_the_Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war#:~:text=On%209%20August%202024%2C%20the,made%20weapons%20and%20military%20equipment.

[4] https://www.ajc.org/news/what-every-american-should-know-about-us-aid-to-israel

[5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/10/us-to-send-3-5bn-more-in-military-aid-to-israel-amid-war-on-gaza

[6] https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/how-to-end-the-war-in-gaza

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Will the Democrats’ Get-Out-the-Vote Campaign Nullify the Republicans’ Voter Suppression Efforts?

Posted on August 27, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

The Democrats left their National Convention in Chicago last week with the wind at their backs. While they, and many others supporting the Harris-Walz ticket, are flying high, we would all be wise to keep our feet solidly on the ground and focus on building a huge GOTV (Get-Out-the-Vote) campaign to counter the Republicans’ aggressive voter suppression efforts.

The Republicans know that the only way they can win the November election is by suppressing the vote in as many ways as possible. For instance, the Republican National Committee urged “the Supreme Court to intervene in an Arizona election dispute this week and block up to 40,000 of the state’s registered voters from casting ballots in the presidential race.”[1] On Thursday, while the Court rejected the Republican effort to disenfranchise those voters, it did allow “some parts of a law requiring proof of citizenship to be enforced.”[2]

In Michigan and Nevada, Republicans are seeking to force election officials to remove voters from the rolls, despite federal law limiting such actions in the months preceding an election. In another Nevada lawsuit, the RNC is trying to block mail ballots from being counted if received after Election Day.[3]

In Georgia, the Republican-controlled state Board of Elections passed a new rule that allows local elections officials to halt vote counting[4] and even outright refuse to certify the election results.[5]

Meanwhile, Republicans are also recruiting thousands of poll monitors in battleground states to try to intimidate voters and disrupt the elections in Democratic cities.[6] At the same time, Democratic groups like Swing Left[7] are training and organizing poll watchers to protect voters’ rights at the polls.[8]

These are the acts of scared, desperate Republicans who will do just about anything to gain power. It is a very sad state of affairs. Not that the Democrats are above reproach. But the Republicans have now thrown democracy out the window at the behest of a two-bit con man who would readily throw any of them under the bus if it served his huge narcissistic appetite.

Republicans are anxiously trying to get Trump to stay on message by focusing on the economy and immigration. But Trump refuses to. He loves going personal, making fun of people, and calling them names. Something an 8-year-old might do.

Fortunately, the Democratic standard bearer, Kamala Harris, is a no-nonsense prosecutor, among other valuable skills. If anybody can beat Trump and ensure that he’s brought to justice, Kamala is answering the call “for the people.”

Still, we all must stand with Kamala. An overwhelming voter turnout created by a massive GOTV campaign must make it crystal clear that the American people support democracy and reject Donald Trump’s authoritarianism. As Kamala declared on the final night of the convention, “We’re not going back!…We’re moving forward.”

Bruce Berlin

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2024-08-19/republicans-urge-supreme-court-to-block-40-000-arizonans-from-voting-for-president-in-november

[2] https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-citizenship-elections-arizona-62b7e777cfdbb99242510e562de00781

[3] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/10/republican-trump-election-voting-lawsuits/

[4] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/08/25/democrats-fair-election/?utm_campaign=wp_follow_jennifer_rubin&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl-jenniferrubin&carta-url=https%3A%2F%2Fs2.washingtonpost.com%2Fcar-ln-tr%2F3ed245a%2F66cb1bd654e7751dec229478%2F5ddffac0ae7e8a7319e6966d%2F6%2F23%2F66cb1bd654e7751dec229478

[5] https://www.wabe.org/new-rule-may-allow-georgia-election-boards-to-halt-certifying-results/?gad_source=1&gclid=Cj0KCQjwrKu2BhDkARIsAD7GBouoq-EE2PBQxXlDGo37Y75v_Jx8-7jiBJdzIgsbEQ4rRvO-Cm24JX0aAgOlEALw_wcB

[6] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/gop-poll-monitors-suburbs-democratic-cities-rcna159059

[7] https://swingleft.org/p/strategy?utm_source=google-search&utm_campaign=volunteeracquisition24&utm_medium=paid-search&utm_term=volunteer_democrats

[8] https://protectthevote.net/

The Struggle for the Soul of America: Could We Be Seeing the Beginning of a Blue Wave?

Posted on August 13, 2024 by Author: Bruce Berlin

It’s been about three weeks since VP Kamala Harris announced her candidacy for president. In that short period, Harris has raised over $310 million with 66% of it coming from first-time contributors.[1]

During that brief stretch, Harris has gone from down one or two points in the polls as President Biden’s running mate to up by four in each of the critical swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.[2] At the same time, the Cook Political Report has moved three other swing states, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, from “lean Republican” to tossups.[3]

Meanwhile, Harris is leading Trump by close to 20 points among registered voters under 30.[4] In a new August poll, she is also leading Trump by 9 points with Independent voters. That’s a 23-point turn around from a July poll where she was 14 points behind Trump.[5] And support for Harris among Black voters is surging as well.[6]

Perhaps, most importantly, support for Harris among women voters is building rapidly. A poll at the end of July showed Harris had gained 9 points with women in just three weeks. That poll found Harris was the choice of 50 percent of women voters, while Trump was preferred by just 39 percent.[7]

The momentum for the Harris-Walz campaign is exploding. The enthusiasm for this duo is palpable. While anything can happen in the next three months, the possibility of a blue-wave election appears more likely day by day.

Even Republicans are getting on board. A fair number of them “see Trump as anathema or the kind of existential threat to democracy that would compel them to cross party lines and who had bought into Biden as an acceptable alternative.”[8] The list includes former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld, former New Jersey Gov. Christine Todd Whitman, former Virginia Rep. Denver Riggleman, former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh, former Trump press secretary Stephanie Grisham, and former Rhode Island Rep. Claudine Schneider.[9]

Everyday Republicans who care about the future of our democracy, are not obsessed with holding onto power, and are not part of the Trump cult are turning to the Harris campaign. Here is what a few of them are saying:

“I’m willing to lend my vote to the Democrats for as long as the GOP continues to be the party of forced religion, forced patriotism, forced birth, white nationalism, and isolationism.”

“Trump is just too divisive, and as a nation, we desperately need to come together and find shared solutions to the problems our country is facing.”

“How is this a difficult choice for any educated, ethical human being? Trump is a horrible person, utterly devoid of any political vision, ethical compass, or personal integrity. He’s a convicted felon. Adjudicated fraudster. Indicted for multiple other felonies. A vocal supporter of the world’s worst megalomaniac dictators.”[10]

More and more Americans are waking up to what is at stake in this election. The choice couldn’t be clearer. I’m envisioning a blue wave sweeping over our country this November.

Bruce Berlin

A retired, public sector ethics attorney, Berlin is the author of Breaking Big Money’s Grip on America (See breakingbigmoneysgrip.com.), the founder of New Mexicans for Money Out of Politics, a former U.S. Institute of Peace fellow, and the founder and former executive director of The Trinity Forum for International Security and Conflict Resolution. He can be reached at breakingbigmoneysgrip@gmail.com.

Subscribe to this blog at https://breakingbigmoneysgrip.com/my-blog-3/.

[1] https://www.vox.com/politics/364964/harris-trump-fundraising-donations-campaign-2024

[2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/battleground-polls-show-harris-fundamentally-151052149.html; https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/harris-trump-battleground-polls.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20240810&instance_id=131352&nl=from-the-times&regi_id=72679230&segment_id=174769&te=1&user_id=51750e72d4988f5b891f2289251150c2

[3] https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4818198-cook-political-report-arizona-georgia-nevada-tossups/

[4] https://ncnewsline.com/2024/08/02/young-voters-mobilize-for-kamala-harris-in-battleground-north-carolina/

[5] https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-poll-independents-donald-trump-1936028

[6] https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-candidacy-led-surge-black-voter-enthusiasm-make/story?id=112196882

[7] https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-gaining-women-voters-polling-shows-1932868

[8] https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/04/politics/republicans-for-harris-anti-trump-gop-voters/index.html

[9] Ibid.

[10] https://www.buzzfeed.com/morgansloss1/republicans-voting-for-kamala-harris-share-why